mercredi 25 juin 2014

Libya - Democratization vs Stabilization

A war torn country in the middle of North Africa, now assembles again for a second democratic election. After thirty years of isolation and iron rule by Muammar Ghaddafi, the Libyan people have slowly been transitioning into a representative form of government.


Unfortunately, the military tensions across the Libyan deserts have created a more detrimental environment for democracy.

In 2012, over 2mm Libyans registered to vote for a representative Parliament. In 2014, the number of registered voters sits at just 1.5mm. And due to security threats, several cities have been completely cut off from the process.

Is Libya ready for a democracy? Or is democracy not something that could work beneficially for Libya? While the country is torn apart, the fighting integrates across the entire state. There are few places that have stabilized. Libyans, unlike Americans or most European nations, take their beliefs to the streets with armed militias taking action. City by city, these groups vie for control and in the event they are successful, the victors act more like raiders and less like nation builders. There is no interest among the majority of successful milita to begin sitting down and drafting constitutions of rights and judiciary law.

Likewise, there is no backing for the 200-seat proposed Libyan parliament. Without a military and ability to enforce the laws that they enact, the Parliament becomes an ineffective burden on Libyan society.

A Libyan parliament at this time, would be able to tax Libyans submitting to it's authority, in an exchange for a civil set of laws. But the Libyan parliament can only promise order. And by the strength and aptitude of opposing military groups, this promise is both foolish and futile. In essence, a Libyan government could only be putting a strain on people that it is doomed to fail.

Libya needs a strong leader with one stern voice who will establish order. Democracy will only anger this voice, in a system where the strong will have to submit to the weak and representation of the few. This will isolate the strong and in due result they will annihilate the weak. Not until centralized order can be enforced in Libya, a parliament is almost a malignant misfeasance to the stabilization of Libya.

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